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Evaluating Competing Hypotheses with Bayes’ Theorem: Qumran as a Case Study
http://hdl.handle.net/10228/00008129
http://hdl.handle.net/10228/00008129e9b00938-f0db-4714-a4bf-e2b55fbb4aef
名前 / ファイル | ライセンス | アクション |
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10285784.pdf (1.5 MB)
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Item type | 学術雑誌論文 = Journal Article(1) | |||||
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公開日 | 2021-03-31 | |||||
資源タイプ | ||||||
資源タイプ識別子 | http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 | |||||
資源タイプ | journal article | |||||
タイトル | ||||||
タイトル | Evaluating Competing Hypotheses with Bayes’ Theorem: Qumran as a Case Study | |||||
言語 | ||||||
言語 | eng | |||||
著者 |
渡邉, 浩明
× 渡邉, 浩明 |
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抄録 | ||||||
内容記述タイプ | Abstract | |||||
内容記述 | This article seeks to provide a new approach to the classic problem of determining the function of the community in Qumran. It considers three hypotheses concerning the function of the community at Qumran, and attempts to assign a probability to each using a Bayes' theorem calculation in four steps: (1) Establish and list available data related to the hypotheses. (2) Numerically assess the data to establish data probabilities. (3) Establish prior probabilities. (4) Calculate posterior probabilities with Bayes' theorem. The results of this calculation indicate a 36% probability that Qumran was an Essene community; 21% probability that Qumran was a military post; and 43% probability that Qumran was a commercial post. | |||||
書誌情報 |
梅光学院大学論集 巻 46, p. 39-63, 発行日 2013-01-31 |
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出版社 | ||||||
出版者 | 梅光学院大学 | |||||
日本十進分類法 | ||||||
主題Scheme | NDC | |||||
主題 | 227 | |||||
NCID | ||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | NCID | |||||
収録物識別子 | AA12190033 | |||||
ISSN | ||||||
収録物識別子タイプ | ISSN | |||||
収録物識別子 | 1882-0441 | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Bayes' Theorem | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Qumran Hypothesis | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Dead Sea Scrolls | |||||
キーワード | ||||||
主題Scheme | Other | |||||
主題 | Essenes | |||||
出版タイプ | ||||||
出版タイプ | VoR | |||||
出版タイプResource | http://purl.org/coar/version/c_970fb48d4fbd8a85 | |||||
査読の有無 | ||||||
値 | no | |||||
研究者情報 | ||||||
https://hyokadb02.jimu.kyutech.ac.jp/html/100000880_ja.html | ||||||
論文ID(連携) | ||||||
10285784 | ||||||
連携ID | ||||||
8644 |